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Reflect, Plan, Measure: Let’s make 2024 great!


The beginning of a new year is an exciting time to reflect, dream, and plan for the future. January is a month filled with anticipation and the good news is that we have control over 2024 and we can be the architects of our year.

To do so effectively, we need to do 3 things:

  1. Reflect.
    1. To lay the foundation for an exceptional 2024, it’s important to get yourself in a positive state. The state you’re in matters! If you don’t take the time to reflect, you will likely come up short. Take a moment to flip through your phone’s photo album, review your calendar, and take inventory of what all you accomplished in 2023. Putting yourself in a positive state will help you dream and plan for the year ahead with excitement.
  2. Plan.
    1. What does an awesome 2024 look like for you? The more specific, the better! A good way to do this is to think about each quarter and what 3 or 5 things you want to accomplish. Dig into the ‘why’ behind these goals; make it emotional and powerful. The significance of your ‘why’ will inherently help you find the ‘how.’
  3. Measure and stay focused.
    1. To turn your dreams into accomplishments, it’s crucial to establish specific metrics and maintain your focus. In the hustle and bustle of life, staying focused on your ‘why’ can be challenging. Regularly revisit your goals, assess your progress, and adjust course if needed.

By implementing the Reflect, Plan, Measure framework, we will become active participants in the creation of a year filled with intention and excitement.

Great Days Ahead!

Greg Weimer
About the Author

At the core of his personal and professional life, Greg is passionate about helping individuals and families maximize their lives and legacies. His dedication to this mission shines through as an individual, wealth…

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529 Plans: Advanced Strategies for Education and Wealth Transfer


When someone thinks about socking away money in a college fund for children or grandchildren, the first thing that comes to mind is a 529 plan – a savings plan for qualified educational expenses, which may include not only tuition, but also room and board, books, and other school supplies.  But did you know that a 529 can also be an attractive consideration for transferring generational wealth?

The Basics:

  • Money invested in a 529 plan grows tax free and the growth is exempt from federal taxes upon withdrawal, as long as the funds are used for qualified educational expenses.
  • You can open up a 529 plan before you become a parent or grandparent, which provides a head start on building generational wealth that you can pass down to future family members.
  • You can open a 529 plan in your name and change the beneficiary later on; and you may open multiple 529 plans to save for the education of multiple children or grandchildren. 
  • Most plans have lifetime contribution limits of about $350,000 and up (annual and all-time contribution limits vary by state).
  • Expanded use of funds:  Money in a 529 plan can be used for education related expenses at any accredited college, community college or graduate school; for certified apprenticeship programs; for student loan repayment (student loan repayment has a $10,000 lifetime limit per 529 plan beneficiary and $10,000 per each of the beneficiary’s siblings); and for K-12 tuition expenses up to $10,000 per year.

The Advanced:

  • Contributions are considered completed gifts.  You can annually give $18,000 (for 2024) per donor per beneficiary, or $36,000 per couple per beneficiary, without being subject to the gift tax.
  • “Super funding” – Contributions can be front-loaded, up to $85,000 (up to $170,000 for married couples)– or five years’ worth of contributions at once.  If you decide to do this, you can’t fund the account for the next four years.
  • You can name a trust as the account owner, which will give you control even after you’re gone.  Trustees can make decisions for the account that are advantageous to the beneficiaries and ensure your wishes for the account are carried out.
  • Contributions to a 529 plan reduce the taxable value of your estate and because contributions are treated as completed gifts, they are immediately removed from the donor’s estate and exempt from the current federal estate tax limit ($12.92 million per person or $25.84 million per couple).
  • Another new benefit starting 2024 (per Secure Act 2.0), it is now permissible to rollover up to a lifetime limit of $35,000 tax free from a 529 plan to a Roth IRA.  The money must be moved to a Roth IRA for the beneficiary of the 529 as opposed to the owner of the 529 account; and the account must have been in existence for at least 15 years. Only funds in the plan for at least 5 years are eligible for rollover. (Please note that annual Roth contribution limits will apply based on the rules included in the legislation and the IRS could interpret differently upon implementation.) 

Whether you want to reap the ‘basic’ benefits of a 529 savings account, or want to discuss the ‘advanced’ benefits – the best approach is reaching out to your Confluence Wealth Manager or starting the conversation altogether. We look forward to helping you and your family with education planning in 2024.

Zac Saunders
About the Author

Known for his professionalism and calming demeanor, Zac is focused on helping his clients reach their financial goals through comprehensive financial planning and unbiased guidance.  Zac and his team support and care for…

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Monthly Market Recap: December 2023


Month in Review

  • Stock and bond markets extended their rally in December, capping off a strong fourth quarter with broad-based gains. Value stocks and US small cap stocks led equity markets higher during the month.
  • Major US bond markets finished in positive territory, preventing what would have been a record-breaking third consecutive calendar year loss.
  • The continued decline in inflationary data and increased likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve were key catalysts for markets during the month.

Narrow Market Leadership

The S&P 500 and growth stocks benefitted from continued strong results from technology companies during 2023. The outsized results of these companies pushed their valuations even higher, with Apple finishing the year as roughly 7% of the S&P 500’s value. This is the largest single weighting in the last 30-years and follows three previous years where Apple represented at least 6% of the S&P 500’s market capitalization. While Apple and six other companies were responsible for the lion’s share of the US stock market’s results in 2023, there are opportunities for broader participation as we head into 2024.

Source: FactSet and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of December 31, 2023.

What’s on Deck for January?

  • Earnings season starts, analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report the second straight quarter of earnings growth.
  • The Federal Reserve meeting on January 31st, where it is expected to hold interest rates steady. Investors will be focused on commentary and projections regarding the timing of the first interest rate cut. Cooling inflation supports a less restrictive approach from the Federal Reserve.
  • The US government is set to enter a phased shut-down on January 19th barring a new spending bill. Bipartisan negotiations are reported as active at time of writing.   

Download the December 2023 Market Recap below:

William Winkeler
About the Author

Bill has more than 12 years of experience in the investment industry, most recently as Managing Director of Investments at a private wealth management firm. In his role at Confluence, Bill chairs the…

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Monthly Market Recap: November 2023


Month in Review

  • Stocks rose sharply in November, breaking a three-month losing streak. Gains were broad based across major markets.
  • Bond markets also broke a five-month losing streak, posting strong results as short- and long-term interest rates fell significantly during November.
  • Multiple data points illustrated that inflation is in continued decline, raising investor confidence that the Federal Reserve is done hiking and turning its focus to potential rate cuts in 2024. 

A November to Remember!

November was a month to remember for investors: The S&P 500 posted its strongest November since 1980 (rising roughly 9%) and the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index had its best month since May 1985 (rising roughly 4.5%).

What were the catalysts for such a sharp reversal?

Investor sentiment had become overly negative – a three-month losing streak for stocks and a 5-month losing streak for bonds. This set-up was followed by unexpected positive developments on the fight against inflation. Multiple readings during November showed inflation rising by less than expectations. Federal Reserve officials also affirmed progress towards normalizing inflation, the decline can be seen in the exhibit below. The positive developments on inflation drove interest rates lower, sending stock and bond prices higher, as investors now shift their attention away from rate hikes to rate cuts.  

Source: BLS, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. CPI used is CPI-U and values shown are % change vs. one year ago. Core CPI is defined as CPI excluding food and energy prices. The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) deflator employs an evolving chain-weighted basket of consumer expenditures instead of the fixed-weight basket used in CPI calculations. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of November 30, 2023.

What’s on Deck for December?

  • Earnings season is wrapped up and government shutdown issues have been pushed out until January 19th and February 2nd of 2024.
  • The Federal Reserve meeting on December 13th will be watched closely for comments on the timing and magnitude of the first rate cut and the on-going shrinking of the Fed’s balance sheet. At time of writing, futures markets are implying a 50% chance of a 25bps rate cut during the March 20th, 2024 meeting.
  • As we enter 2024, the US Presidential election will once again be a focus. Despite a significant amount of noise, it is important to remember that the S&P 500 has only had negative returns in election years two of the last 20 election years (2000, 2008).

Download the November 2023 Market Recap below:

William Winkeler
About the Author

Bill has more than 12 years of experience in the investment industry, most recently as Managing Director of Investments at a private wealth management firm. In his role at Confluence, Bill chairs the…

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Monthly Market Recap: October 2023


Month in Review

  • Stocks fell during the month of October, marking the third straight monthly decline for the S&P 500 Index.
  • Bond markets also fell again during the month, the fifth straight monthly decline for the asset class.
  • Concerns over US government funding helped keep interest rates higher in October, pressuring stock and bond markets again.
  • US corporate earnings season is also in full swing, with over 50% of the S&P 500 having reported by the end of the month. Companies have thus far reported positive earnings growth with mixed outlooks.

Last Rate Hike? Now What?

The Federal Reserve held its November committee meeting, where they kept interest rates unchanged. Following the press conference, investors are now expecting interest rates to be unchanged again in December (only a 15% probability of a December rate hike as of 11/2/2023).  If the Federal Reserve is finished increasing interest rates this cycle, what does that mean for the stock market? Going back to 1929, there are no clear trends, the range of outcomes following the last hike is very wide historically. While various talking heads remain hyper-focused on short-term events such as this, it is more important than ever that investors maintain their focus on long-term fundamentals.  

What’s on Deck for November?

  • The autoworkers strike appears to be nearing resolution, while a potential government shutdown remains a possibility ahead of the November 17th deadline.
  • Corporate earnings season is nearly two-thirds complete, with companies reporting earnings ahead of estimates on average, and clocking positive growth this quarter. Investors will focus on forward guidance from companies as the season wraps-up.
  • The next Federal Reserve meeting is not until December 13th, so in the interim investors will continue to look for communications and sign-posts for confirmation the Federal Reserve is done increasing interest rates. The Federal Reserve did confirm their on-going effort to reverse their quantitative easing (QE) program, which is expected to keep interest rates elevated.

Download the October 2023 Market Recap below:

William Winkeler
About the Author

Bill has more than 12 years of experience in the investment industry, most recently as Managing Director of Investments at a private wealth management firm. In his role at Confluence, Bill chairs the…

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Nearing the End of the Collecting Journey: Now What?


As enthusiasts and collectors approach the later stages of their lives, the act of collecting takes on new dimensions. Some may be content to sell their collection and pass the proceeds on to heirs, but for others the treasures that have been amassed over the years are now an opportunity to leave a legacy that will continue to endure.

Here are four considerations to help navigate this phase of your collecting journey:

1. Legacy Planning and Succession Strategy

If you haven’t already, start to incorporate your collection into your broader estate plan. Decide how your treasures will be managed, preserved, or passed on. Engage with experts who specialize in collectibles and estate management, particularly those well-versed in the tax implications of transferring collections.

Consider which heirs will receive each item and why, taking into account their emotional significance and potential for instilling responsibility. If you aim to establish a philanthropic legacy, donating to a museum or organization aligned with your mission not only offers tax benefits but also ensures parts of your collection remain together.

2. Balancing Emotional and Financial Value

While financial considerations have likely played a role in your collecting journey, the emotional value of your treasures becomes increasingly significant as you near this phase. Embrace the joy and memories your collection evokes. If the next chapter is one that doesn’t fetch your estate the highest possible payout or the most optimal tax deduction, that can be OK if the destination fulfills your wishes and maximizes the emotional component of the transition.

3. Philanthropy & Impact

Consider the broader impact your collection can have. Some individuals opt for philanthropic endeavors that align with the themes of their collection. For example, a collector of classic cars may choose to donate his or her collection to an automobile museum that will display the vehicles and allow them to continue to provide joy for many. Donating items, contributing proceeds to charitable causes, or establishing cultural endowments can solidify your legacy as one that extends beyond material possessions.

4. Don’t Forget Logistics

Once you’ve established a robust plan for your collection, it’s crucial to have capable individuals ready to carry it out. For vehicles, consider arranging for an appraisal in advance or identify a trusted appraiser to guide those handling your estate. If you anticipate liquidating a coin collection after your passing, take the initiative to identify a reputable precious metals dealer beforehand. By personally selecting the third parties involved, you can alleviate the executor’s potential challenges in managing and distributing your collection.

As your collecting journey matures, it evolves into a narrative of legacy and stewardship. It’s important to recognize that your collection signifies not just an investment, but a testament to the diverse experiences of your life. Take the necessary time and consider that at Confluence Financial Partners, we’re here to help. Collaborating with the right professionals can help ease the burden and ensure both your life and legacy are maximized.

Randy Holcombe
About the Author

The opportunity to make a positive difference in people’s lives is why Randy chose a career in wealth management. He is passionate about helping his clients achieve their goals and cut through the…

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Monthly Market Recap: September 2023


Month in Review

  • Stocks had their worst month since December 2022 and bonds fell for the fourth straight month. 
  • Rising Treasury yields were the primary catalyst – the 10-year Treasury yield hit a 16-year high during September.
  • Restrengthening inflation data and the prospect of additional interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve are the main catalysts for the pressures.

Bond Yields Return to Average

Despite nearly a decade of low interest rates, the 10-year Treasury yield typically averages 3% to 5% yield, going back to the late 1800’s. For the first time since 2007, the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.5%, comfortably returning to long-term averages. Recent inflation data was stronger than expected, contributing to the increase in yield, along with the prospect of additional rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The increase in yields reduces the value of bond investments in the short-term, and higher yields present a more attractive alternative to stocks – two reasons stocks and bonds struggled in August and September.

What’s on Deck for October?

  • Outside of fundamentals, there are headwinds from the on-going autoworkers’ strike, and a potential shutdown of the US government. Both events historically have not had lasting impacts on the economy and markets.
  • The surprisingly strong labor market was the primary reason the predicted 2023 recession did not happen – investors will be watching job creation and unemployment claims data closely for any softening.
  • An additional interest rate hike in November or December is very much up in the air. Inflation data had strengthened somewhat, along with energy prices increasing sharply since June. It is unclear if this is enough for the Federal Reserve to hike one more time.

Download the September 2023 Market Recap below:

William Winkeler
About the Author

Bill has more than 12 years of experience in the investment industry, most recently as Managing Director of Investments at a private wealth management firm. In his role at Confluence, Bill chairs the…

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Monthly Market Recap: August 2023


Month in Review

  • Major stock indices broke a two-month streak of gains, with all major indices finishing down for the month.
  • Growth companies regained favor after two months of value and small cap companies leading the market.
  • Bond prices declined due to rising interest rates.

Insight on Inflation

Despite the market volatility, evidence from July’s inflation report suggests progress towards a “soft landing” scenario, where inflation is gradually decreasing, and the economy avoids a recession. In July, headline inflation was at +3.3%, year-over-year, down from its peak of 9.1% in June 2022. Unlike June 2022, supply chains and goods have largely normalized, with wages and services being the key drivers of inflation today.

Source: BLS, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. CPI used is CPI-U and values shown are % change vs. one year ago. Core CPI is defined as CPI excluding food and energy prices. The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) deflator employs an evolving chain-weighted basket of consumer expenditures instead of the fixed-weight basket used in CPI calculations.  Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of August 31, 2023.

What’s on Deck for September?

  • The August jobs report supplied additional evidence towards a “soft landing” outcome – more people joined the workforce while wage growth slowed, indicating steady but slower economic growth.
  • A “soft landing” could lead to the Federal Reserve not needing to raise interest rates as high as previously predicted, potentially benefiting stocks and bonds.
  • Investors will now pay close attention to the September and November Federal Reserve meetings for clues about future rate hikes or general shifts in policy.

Download the August 2023 Market Recap below:

William Winkeler
About the Author

Bill has more than 12 years of experience in the investment industry, most recently as Managing Director of Investments at a private wealth management firm. In his role at Confluence, Bill chairs the…

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Welcome, Sarah Rupp, MS, RD, LDN! Why We Hired a Dietitian


Our mission at Confluence Financial Partners is to Maximize Lives and Legacies.

As our industry has evolved, we understand that the role of a wealth management firm has become bigger than simply managing portfolios and building financial plans. While plans and portfolios remain essential, we believe that true wealth lies not only in financial abundance but also in physical and mental well-being. Studies show that individuals who prioritize their health tend to experience enhanced cognitive function, increased productivity, and overall improved quality of life.

In light of this, it is with much enthusiasm that we announce the addition of a dietitian to our team at Confluence, Sarah Rupp, MS, RD, LDN!

Our commitment to associates and clients is to expand beyond the conventional boundaries of wealth management and we believe the addition of Sarah helps us deliver that commitment.

We look forward to sharing Sarah’s knowledge to further Maximize Lives and Legacies.

Great Days Ahead!

Greg Weimer, CEO

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Cash Management: What You Need to Know


The banking system recently became front-page news following the failure of two banks in March. The headlines related to bank failures can illicit very emotional responses about safety of deposit accounts and cash investment solutions.

We believe it is more important than ever to look through the headlines to the fundamentals of cash management.

Cash management fundamentally breaks down into two categories:

  1. Deposit accounts, and
  2. Cash investment solutions.

While the two have similarities, there are fundamental differences with structure and protection.

Deposit Accounts

  • Bank Deposits: Interest-bearing account at a banking institution, such as a savings or checking account.
    • These accounts do not have market risk.
    • Insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to applicable limits
      • FDIC deposit insurance is backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government. Currently, FDIC coverage extends to $250,000 per owner (and per account type), considering the underlying banking institution. For example, a joint account may have $500,000 of FDIC coverage at a single banking institution.

Cash Investment Solutions    

  • Certificates of Deposit (CDs):  Investment that earns interest on a lump sum basis for a defined period of time.
    • In contrast to deposits, CD’s typically offer higher interest rates versus bank deposits to compensate for monies being unavailable during the life of the investment.
    • FDIC coverage applies to $250,000 per individual per issuing institution.
  • Individual Treasuries: Securities issued by the US Government, can be interest-bearing or zero coupon (earn lump-sum at maturity). The term of Treasuries can vary significantly: 4 weeks to 30 years.
    • Exempt from state and local taxes, but subject to federal tax.
    • Not covered by FDIC insurance, rather explicitly backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government.
  • Government Money Market Mutual Funds: Mutual funds that invest in Treasuries and US Government securities, paying interest on a recurring basis. Government money markets target a stable $1.00 value (not guaranteed)
    • Not FDIC insured.
    • Money market mutual funds underwent significant changes starting in 2016, which introduced redemption fees and liquidity gates, an effort to introduce a tool to combat any “run” on money markets. Only government money market funds are exempt from the rules surrounding redemption fees and gates (however, they can adopt them if previously disclosed to investors). Currently, none of the government money market funds offered by Raymond James have adopted redemption fees and gates.

In addition to FDIC insurance and backing of the full faith and credit of the US government, most assets held at firms such as Raymond James are covered by the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC), to applicable limits. The SIPC was established in 1970 and protects client assets up to $500,000, including $250,000 of cash. SIPC account protection would apply in the event a firm fails financially and is unable to meet obligations to clients, not against a loss in market value.

Despite the negative and unsettling headlines, there are multiple robust cash management solutions available to clients, with multiple layers of risk mitigation. At Confluence Financial Partners, we believe in the soundness of our banking system and maintain complete confidence in our client cash management tools. 

William Winkeler
About the Author

Bill has more than 12 years of experience in the investment industry, most recently as Managing Director of Investments at a private wealth management firm. In his role at Confluence, Bill chairs the…

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