Topic: Regulatory Impact

  • Federal Reserve Cut Rates – Now What?

    As expected, the Federal Reserve reduced the Federal Funds rate by 0.25% today, the first rate cut since December 2024. What can investors expect going forward following the reduction in short-term interest rates? First off, some of the impact is “priced in” in advance of the actual rate cut, as investors and financial markets are forward-looking. That being said, there are some general reactions to expect:

    Short-Term Savings and Liabilities

    • There will be a very tangible effect here – the yield or interest on short-term savings vehicles such as money market funds will drop relatively quickly to reflect the lower rate from the Federal Reserve.
    • Floating-rate loans (i.e. home equity lines of credit, securities-based loans, credit card loans) are often based on Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) (replaced LIBOR), which tracks Federal Funds rate closely. There should be a reduction in the interest on floating rate loans.

    Mortgage Rates

    • Fixed rate mortgages are the dominant structure in the United States, and the impact of lower Federal Funds rate can be limited on 15-year and 30-year mortgages.
    • These types of fixed mortgages are based off the yield of longer-term Treasuries, plus a risk spread associated with underwriting and issuing the mortgages.
    • Longer-term Treasuries reflect expectations for future economic growth and inflation and are not set by the Federal Reserve.
    • This is also an example of investors pricing-in future events: 30-year mortgage rates hit their lowest level of the year before the interest rate cut was announced.

    Stock and Bond Investments

    • The impact on the stock market can vary- certain sectors and size companies have a greater sensitivity to short-term interest rates. The catalyst for the rate cut is more important for the stock and bond markets- i.e. are the rate cuts due to an impending recession?
    • For example, small cap stocks use significantly greater floating rate financing compared to large cap stocks. Falling short-term interest rates are expected to boost small cap stock earnings. This is one reason why small cap stocks have outperformed large cap stocks in the US since June 30th.
    • Bond investments will generally benefit from the interest rate cuts but like fixed mortgages, the exact impact is more nuanced. When prevailing interest rates fall, the value of existing bonds increases in value. The benefit for bond investments will be reduced if longer-term yields stay higher or increase, similar to what happened after the rate cuts in 2024.

    Rate cuts bring both opportunities and challenges, and staying informed and proactive can help you navigate the shifts with confidence. Since every situation is unique, we’d be glad to review how these changes may affect your goals—let’s start the conversation.

  • The One Big Beautiful Bill Act: A Closer Look at Key Tax Changes for Individuals and Business Owners

    The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed into law on July 4, 2025, is one of the most comprehensive tax reforms since the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). While originally many TCJA provisions were set to expire at the end of 2025, OBBBA makes several of them permanent and introduces new deductions and planning opportunities. For both individual taxpayers and business owners, the legislation introduces significant changes that will affect financial strategies for years to come.

    What Provisions Are Now Permanent?

    OBBBA locks in several of the tax code changes first introduced under TCJA. These are no longer set to expire:

    Marginal tax rates remain at their current levels: 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, and 37%. The lower 10% and 12% brackets are a little wider and the 22% bracket is narrower. All brackets will continue to be adjusted for inflation annually.

    Standard deduction levels, which were roughly doubled by TCJA, are now permanent. For 2025, this now means $15,750 for single filers, $23,625 for head of household filers, and $31,500 for joint filers.

    Personal exemptions remain eliminated.

    Estate tax exemption is permanently increased and set to $15 million per individual beginning in 2026.

    The Child Tax Credit increases to $2,200 per child, and for the first time, the credit amount will be indexed to inflation beginning in 2026.

    The Qualified Business Income (QBI) deduction, also known as the Section 199A deduction, is permanently available for pass-through businesses, with continued income thresholds and limitations for specified service trades or businesses (SSTBs).

    Temporary Enhancements for Individual Taxpayers

    While many TCJA provisions are now permanent, OBBBA also introduces several new or enhanced deductions—many of which are temporary, lasting only through 2028 or 2030.

    New Senior Deduction (2025–2028)

    Taxpayers age 65 or older can now claim a separate below-the-line deduction of $6,000 (or $12,000 for joint filers where both spouses are 65+). This is in addition to the standard deduction and is available whether the taxpayer itemizes or not. This was marketed as “no tax on Social Security,” but Social Security income taxation remains unchanged.

    However, this benefit phases out for higher-income seniors:

    Begins to phase out at $75,000 of modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) for single filers.

    Begins to phase out at $150,000 MAGI for joint filers.

    This deduction provides meaningful relief for lower- and middle-income retirees, especially those not drawing heavily from tax-deferred retirement accounts.

    Expansion of the State and Local Tax (SALT) Deduction (2025–2029)

    The $10,000 SALT deduction cap is not eliminated, but it is temporarily raised to $40,000 for individual taxpayers whose MAGI is below $500,000:

    Applies for tax years 2025 through 2029.

    For those filers (single, head of household, or joint) above the MAGI threshold, the higher cap amount begins to phase back down to $10,000 once income reaches $600,000.

    In 2030, the cap reverts to $10,000 for all taxpayers unless further legislative action is taken.

    This creates meaningful short-range planning opportunities for taxpayers in high-tax states, particularly those under the income threshold.

    Other Targeted Deductions and Adjustments

    OBBBA adds a handful of new deductions designed to support working-class and lower-middle-income taxpayers, though many are capped and subject to phase-outs.

    Below-the-Line Charitable Deduction (Starting in 2026)

    Beginning in 2026, taxpayers who either take the standard deduction or itemize will be allowed to deduct a portion of their charitable contributions:

    Up to $1,000 for single filers.

    Up to $2,000 for married couples filing jointly.

    This provision revives and slightly expands the temporary charitable deduction that existed during the COVID pandemic and encourages broader charitable participation. Donations must be made similarly in cash and cannot be made to supporting organizations or donor advised funds.

    Taxpayers who elect to itemize their charitable contributions are now subject to a 0.5% of AGI floor beginning in 2026. Notably, the 0.5% reduction is carried forward to the following year only if the contribution exceeds the AGI limit and is deferred to a future year. As a result, it can sometimes make sense to contribute more than the annual AGI limit, since doing so allows the 0.5%-of-AGI reduction to be “used” later instead of otherwise being simply lost. Additionally, taxpayers in the top marginal bracket of 37% will only be able to deduct 35 cents of every dollar (2/37ths reduction).

    Deduction for Tip Income (2025–2028)

    A new below-the-line deduction allows service industry employees to deduct up to $25,000 of qualified tip income from their taxable income. Income from tips is still subject to payroll tax, included in adjusted gross income (AGI), and may also be subject to state income tax.

    The deduction phases out starting at $150,000 of MAGI for single or head of household filers and $300,000 for joint filers.

    To qualify, the taxpayer must work in an occupation that “traditionally and customarily” received tips prior to 2025, and the tips must be voluntary and not mandated as part of the service provided.

    This benefit is limited to tax years 2025 through 2028.

    Deduction for Overtime Pay (2025–2028)

    Workers who earn additional compensation from overtime can deduct below-the-line:

    Up to $12,500 of overtime income (single).

    Up to $25,000 (married filing jointly).

    As with the tip deduction, phase-outs begin at MAGI of $150,000 for single and head of household filers and $300,000 for joint filers. This deduction is also limited to the 2025–2028 period.

    Deductible Auto Loan Interest (2025–2028)

    Taxpayers can deduct interest on auto loans (taken out after December 31, 2024), but only under specific conditions:

    The vehicle must be new, for personal use, and assembled in the United States. A car VIN starting with digits 1, 4, 5, or 7 indicates the car was assembled in the USA.

    The deduction is capped at $10,000 of interest over the life of the loan.

    MAGI phase-outs apply: $100,000-$149,000 for singles and $200,000-$249,000 for joint filers.

    Applies only through 2028.

    This provision aims to promote domestic car manufacturing and ownership, especially for middle-income households.

    Business Owners: Key Considerations

    Qualified Business Income (QBI) Deduction

    The Section 199A QBI deduction remains intact and permanent. Business owners should continue monitoring the slightly increased income phaseout ranges of $75,000 and $150,000 over the taxable income thresholds of $191,950 single / $383,900 joint in 2025, respectively.

    AMT (Alternative Minimum Tax) Changes

    OBBBA reduces the AMT exemption phase-out thresholds, making more upper-income taxpayers potentially subject to AMT.

    Although the base exemptions remain similar, more taxpayers earning between $500,000 and $1 million may need to recalculate.

    For small business owners, this means more intricate AMT exposure modeling may be necessary to avoid surprises. The interplay between the QBI deduction and the AMT may become more relevant, especially after 2030, when the SALT cap reverts.

    100% bonus depreciation of business property placed into service after January 19, 2025 is permanently restored and Section 179 deduction limits are increased to $2.5 million in aggregate total cost on up to $4 million in total Section 179 property.

    Other Notable Updates

    New “Trump Accounts” are introduced, which can be opened and funded on behalf of any individual with a Social Security number from birth up until the year before the year in which they turn 18.

    The federal government will pilot a program to contribute $1,000 via taxpayer credit per U.S. citizen born in 2025, 2026, or 2027.

    Families can contribute up to $5,000 annually indexed to inflation starting in July 2026.

    Accounts function similarly to traditional IRAs and are designed for general future savings. No distributions are allowed before the year the beneficiary turns 18 and the only eligible investments are low-fee U.S. equity funds. If the beneficiary dies prior to the year in which they turn 18, the account loses its tax-deferred status and is fully taxable to the designated beneficiary.

    In the year the beneficiary turns 18, distributions are permitted but early withdrawal penalties are assessed before age 59 ½. Withdrawals of direct contributions are tax-free but earnings or excluded contributions are taxable.

    Required minimum distributions (RMDs) and the 10-year rule for IRAs will likely apply to these accounts. More guidance is needed to determine if these types of accounts can be rolled over to other IRAs or converted to a Roth IRA.

    Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) capital gain exclusion has increased from $10 million to $15 million for QSBS acquired after July 4, 2025. There is a partial gain exclusion if held for less than 5 years.

    Student Loans

    Federal student loan borrowers will now face a number of changes effective on July 1, 2026. It will significantly curtail most direct borrowing and limit educational opportunities for less affluent families unless they are able to borrow privately:

    GraduatePLUS loan program eliminated (grandfathered in before July 1, 2026)

    ParentPLUS annual and aggregate loan limits of $20,000/yr and $65,000 per dependent student, respectively

    Graduate and professional annual and aggregate loan limits of $20,000/50,000/yr and $100,000/$200,000 total

    $257,500 lifetime borrowing limit on all federal student loans, excluding borrowed ParentPLUS loan amounts

    Student loan repayment options simplified to standard repayment plan (10, 15, 20, or 25 years), income based repayment (IBR) plan, or new Repayment Assistance Plan (RAP). Current borrowers will need to elect one of these options by July 1, 2028 or default to RAP.

    RAP has a $10 minimum monthly payment and borrowers will pay 1% to 10% of their monthly income for up to 30 years. There is no cap on monthly payments, even if they are greater than the standard repayment plan. However negative amortization is eliminated.

    Opportunity Zones and Education

    OBBBA renews and expands Qualified Opportunity Zones, which allow for the deferral and potential exclusion of capital gains invested in targeted communities. The definition of low-income areas will be slightly more restrictive and investors can begin deferring capital gains into new Qualified Opportunity Funds (QOFs) again in 2027.

    529 plans now allow withdrawals for certain non-college expenses, such as workforce certifications and educational supplies.

    These changes broaden the use of tax-advantaged accounts and should be considered when reviewing education and estate planning strategies.

    Many clean energy credits will be repealed by year end instead of the originally scheduled sunset dates between 2032 and 2035.

    Final Thoughts: What This Means for Planning

    OBBBA delivers both permanency and novelty. While it removes the looming TCJA expiration cliff, it introduces a handful of temporary deductions and phase-outs that clients must navigate carefully.

    The most effective plans will be those that adapt to the temporary and permanent elements of OBBBA. This legislation reinforces the idea that financial planning isn’t a one-time activity—it’s a dynamic process that evolves with the law, and your financial plan should too.

    Please reach out to your Confluence Financial Partners wealth advisor with any questions.

    Sources:
    119th Congress (2025-2026) | Library of Congress. (2025, July 4). H.R.1 – One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Congress.gov https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1/text
    Henry-Moreland, B. (2025, July 17). Breaking Down The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”: Impact Of New Laws On Tax Planning. Nerd’s Eye View | Kitces.com https://www.kitces.com/blog/obbba-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-tax-planning-salt-cap-senior-deduction-qbi-deduction-tax-cut-and-jobs-act-tcja-amt-trump-accounts/
    NASFAA. (2025, July). Federal Student Aid Changes from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators. https://www.nasfaa.org/uploads/documents/Federal_Student_Aid_Change_OB3_July2025.pdf

  • CARES Act Explained: What You Need to Know

    From rebate checks to small business support, there is quite a bit packed into the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act that was signed into law on Friday. The $2+ trillion emergency fiscal stimulus package is intended to mitigate some of the economic effects caused by the COVID-19 outbreak.

    We have all been working to gain an understanding of the law so that we can act as a resource for our friends and family looking to take advantage of the applicable provisions. We have been reading numerous articles, participating in webcasts hosted by industry experts and large accounting firms, and talking with banks to understand the process for various provisions. New information is still coming out daily, but please do not hesitate to use us as a resource as we work through this pandemic.

    Here is a look at some of the key provisions in the CARES Act that may be of interest to you:

    1. A check – Based on income and family makeup, most Americans can expect to receive $1,200 individually ($2,400 for joint filers) and $500 per dependent. Amounts phase out for those who reported adjusted gross incomes over $75,000 for individuals and $150,000 for joint filers in 2018 or
    2. A buffer – The CARES Act eliminates the 10% early withdrawal penalty for coronavirus-related distributions from retirement accounts. Withdrawn amounts can be repaid to the plan over the next three years. In addition, required minimum distributions (RMDs) are waived for 2020. Investors who have already taken an RMD for 2020 have options that may include returning the amount or rolling it over, as long as the distribution was not made from a beneficiary
    3. Support for small businesses – In the form of more than $350 billion, including forgivable loans (up to $10 million) to help keep the business afloat, a paycheck protection plan and
    4. Expanded unemployment benefits – Unlimited funding to provide workers laid off due to COVID-19 an additional $600 a week, in addition to state benefits for up to four months. This includes relief for self-employed individuals, furloughed employees and gig economy workers who have lost work during the
    5. Fortified healthcare – $100 billion is allocated to hospitals and other health providers to help offset costs and provide relief. In addition, the legislation provides funding for numerous other areas including state and local COVID-19 response measures, an increase to the national stockpile for medicine, protective equipment, medical supplies and additional FEMA disaster relief
    6. Enhanced education – $30 billion to bolster state education and school funding, as well as the deferral of federal student loan payments through the end of September.

    What’s next? Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has targeted early April to deliver the funds. Discussions are starting in D.C. around a possible next phase of economic relief, although it’s just talk for now.

    We’ll continue to keep you updated with relevant and timely information. In the meantime, please don’t hesitate to reach out. These are difficult times in which we are living, but we are confident that we will get through them together.

    The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Confluence Financial Partners is not a registered broker/dealer, and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services. Investment Advisory Services are offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc. Investing involves risk, and investors may incur a profit or a loss. Some expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of Raymond James and are subject to change. There is no assurance that any of the forecasts mentioned will occur. Economic and market conditions are subject to change.  Some of the material was prepared by Raymond James for use by its advisors.
  • 2 Things Every Investor Should Know About SECURE Act 2.0

    In late December, a $1.7T omnibus spending package was passed in Congress and subsequently signed into law by President Biden. This bill included some significant updates to the landmark 2019 SECURE Act, such that this portion of the legislation is being referred to as SECURE Act 2.0.

    While there are many important updates in the law, I’d like to focus on two items that we believe are especially significant

    1. Required Minimum Distribution (RMD) Age Increase

    Beginning 1/1/2023, the new beginning age for RMDs will be 73. By 2033, the age for RMDs will be pushed back further to 75.

    This means that investors who will turn 72 in 2023 received a pass on what would have been their first RMD! It also means that the window of opportunity for income planning in retirement is extended.

    Some of the most opportune years in terms of income planning are the years between retirement and when RMDs begin. In these years, individuals tend to be in a relatively low tax bracket, because they no longer have high employment income and they also don’t yet have required income coming from their retirement accounts.

    If these retirees are able to live on Social Security and income from taxable brokerage accounts, they could end up in an unusually low tax bracket. These years can then be used to “harvest” capital gains at a 0% tax rate, or convert portions of a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA. The lower adjusted gross income can also help retirees save on things like Medicare and Social Security taxes.  

    Pushing the RMD age out to 73 and then 75 will give retirees additional time to take advantage of these opportunities.


    2. 529 accounts to Roth IRAs

    For the first time, 529s will be allowed to rollover tax-free to Roth IRAs, albeit with significant restrictions.

    The total amount allowed to be rolled over in aggregate is $35,000, and the rollovers must be done in accordance with the annual Roth contribution limits (currently $6,500 for those under age 50). In addition, the 529 must have been established for at least 15 years.

    This change will help to alleviate investor fears of what may happen to 529 funds if the beneficiary chooses not to pursue higher education.

    The change also allows for a strategy whereby investors begin planned rollovers to a Roth IRA once the beneficiary turns 16. At today’s limits (which will be adjusted up for inflation), a 529 beneficiary could have $35,000 plus earnings saved in a Roth IRA before graduating from college. That is a solid head start!

    If you have questions about how these opportunities could affect your financial planning, please call one of our offices to speak with a wealth manager today.


    See below for additional key provisions in SECURE Act 2.0:

    Chuck Zuzak
    About the Author

    Chuck joins Confluence Financial Partners with 13 years of experience in the financial services industry, most recently as Director of Financial Planning at JFS Wealth Advisors. At a fundamental level, Chuck’s passion for financial planning stems from the desire to help clients connect their personal values and purpose with their financial resources.

  • SECURE ACT 2.0 – What Employers Need to Know

    In late December, a $1.7T omnibus spending package was passed in Congress and subsequently signed into law by President Biden. This bill included some significant updates to the landmark 2019 SECURE Act, such that this portion of the legislation is being referred to as SECURE Act 2.0.

    The legislation is far-reaching and offers several enhancements intended to strengthen American’s retirement and financial readiness.

    While there are many changes that impact personal savers, I’d like to focus on one change that will have a significant impact on 401(k) plans, and the companies that sponsor retirement plans.

    Automatic Enrollment

    • The new legislation requires businesses creating new 401(k) and 403(b) plans beginning in 2025, to automatically enroll eligible employees, starting at a contribution rate of at least 3%, up to 10% of employee compensation.
    • Contribution rates must increase by 1% each year until at least 10% is reached, but not more than 15%. Employees have the option of declining to participate or adjusting their personal savings rate.   

    Why is this impactful?

    Roughly 25% of working adults have no retirement savings, and fewer than 4 in 10 believe their retirement savings are on track, according to the Federal Reserve’s Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2019.

    • Proponents are hopeful that the provision will increase 401(k) participation rates and raise the amount workers save for retirement.

    Signing up for a 401(k) is simple – filling out a form isn’t a difficult task, but research has shown that workers need a nudge. As the data have repeatedly shown, auto enrollment is indeed that nudge.

    • According to a Vanguard Research study, among newly hired employees, participation rates were at 91% under auto enrollment, versus 28% under voluntary enrollment. 

    The future impact of Automatic Enrollment can be significant. Employees benefit from these automated plan design options. Employers benefit by having engaged employees that are financially fit. 

    If you have questions about how this plan design enhancement could affect your retirement program, please call (412)815-4721 to speak with our Retirement Plan Services team today.


    See below for additional key provisions in SECURE Act 2.0 for employers: