Category: Insights

Read all of the insights coming from the experts at confluence financial partners.

  • 6 Ways High Earning Women Can Navigate Career, Wealth, and Life Changes

    As a woman, a financial advisor, a mother of four, a wife, and a daughter who has cared for aging parents, I’ve lived many of the transitions and challenges that high-earning women face. I’ve also changed careers, taken time off to raise my children, and returned to the workforce with a renewed sense of purpose. These experiences have shaped not only how I view financial planning, but how I help other women approach their wealth with confidence and clarity.

    Financial planning is deeply personal, and for women, especially those with high earning potential, it often requires a tailored approach that reflects the realities of our lives. From career shifts to caregiving roles, longevity, and legacy goals, thoughtful planning can help us protect, grow, and purposefully use our wealth.

    1. Career Trajectories and Earning Patterns

    Women’s careers often don’t follow a straight line. Whether it’s stepping away to raise children, caring for loved ones, or pivoting into new roles, these transitions can impact income, retirement savings, and investment strategies. I’ve seen how flexible financial planning that accounts for pauses and pivots can empower women to stay on track and build long-term wealth, even when life takes unexpected turns.

    2. Longevity and Healthcare Considerations

    Women tend to live longer than men, which means our retirement plans need to stretch further. We must think about healthcare, long-term care, and how to sustain our lifestyle for decades. Planning for longevity isn’t just about numbers, it’s about peace of mind. It’s about knowing that we’ll be okay, and that we won’t be a financial burden to those we love.

    3. Risk Tolerance and Investment Approach

    I’ve worked with women who are cautious investors and others who are bold and growth oriented. There’s no one-size-fits-all approach. What matters is aligning your investments with your values, goals, and comfort level.  Your portfolio should reflect this, balancing growth, protection, and flexibility, so you can feel confident in every market cycle.

    4. Estate, Legacy, and Intergenerational Wealth

    Many women I work with are the financial stewards of their families. They care deeply about how their wealth will impact future generations and the causes they believe in. Whether it’s through charitable giving, trusts, or legacy planning, a thoughtful financial plan can assist in fulfilling family objectives and legacy goals.

    5. Empowerment Through Education and Engagement

    Historically, women have faced barriers to financial confidence and literacy. Too often, women feel intimidated by financial jargon or worry they’re “not good with money.” But I believe, and have witnessed, that with the right guidance, women become incredibly powerful financial decision-makers.  Women should feel safe asking questions, exploring options, and taking control of their financial futures.

    6. Life Transitions and Flexibility

    Life is full of transitions including marriage, divorce, career changes, caregiving, and retirement. I’ve walked through several of these stages myself. That’s why I believe financial plans need to be adaptable and should evolve as life does. Because when your financial strategy is flexible, you’re better prepared for whatever comes next.

    Financial planning for women isn’t just about numbers, it’s about life. It’s about creating a strategy that supports your goals, your family, and your future. As someone who’s lived many of these experiences, I’m passionate about helping women feel confident, informed, and empowered in their financial journey.

    Let’s talk about how thoughtful planning can help you balance wealth, life, and legacy. I’d love to help you explore your options and build a plan that reflects your unique path.

    Melissa Pirosko
    About the Author

    Melissa’s love of investing combined with her desire to help and serve others led her to a career in wealth management. Melissa enjoys working with clients to help them reach their financial goals and focuses on building long term relationships with each of her clients based on integrity and trust.

  • Market Recap: Q3 2025

    A Review of Investment Trends and Insights

    Record Concentration

    • Federal Reserve reduced interest rates for the first time since 2024 following weakening labor market data.
    • Declining interest rates helped drive US small cap stocks and bond markets higher during the quarter.
    • Investment in artificial intelligence drove the S&P 500 to record concentration levels as leadership narrowed in the Third Quarter.

    What Happened in the Third Quarter?

    The first interest rate cut since the end of 2024 and why it happened were important events in the Third Quarter of 2025. The Federal Reserve had been consistent with their messaging – interest rate cuts would largely be determined by any weakness in the labor market. During the quarter, there became signs the labor market was slowing down. There were large revisions to previous estimates of job creation, showing that the economy had created fewer jobs than first assumed. With inflation still comfortably above their 2% target, Federal Reserve officials were still comfortable reducing the Federal Funds Rate by 0.25% in September, reflecting the slowing jobs market. During the lead-up to the interest rate cut, equity markets were led by interest-rate sensitive markets such as small caps, which had strong results during the quarter (Russell 2000 TR Index rose +12.39%). Bond markets also benefitted from the decrease in interest rates, with the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond TR Index rising +2.03% during the quarter. Leadership within the S&P 500 Index narrowed again during the quarter, as the largest companies (and most exposed to artificial intelligence investments) drove the index higher – detailed more below.

    Index Diversification in the Spotlight One defining characteristic of the past three-to-five years in the US equity markets is the increasing concentration in the S&P 500.  The degree to which the S&P 500 has narrowed has led to many investors asking “is an S&P 500 Index investment still diversified?”. By any measure – the S&P 500 Index is more concentrated in the largest companies than any other time since at least the mid-1960’s.

    The top 10 companies in the S&P 500 make up 40% of the index market capitalization- meaning for every $1 invested in the S&P 500 Index, $0.40 goes into 10 companies. This compares to an average top 10 concentration closer to 23% over the past 30 years. Similar measures reflect the magnitude of concentration: Nvidia became the first 8% or greater position since IBM in 1969, Top 5 companies reached almost 28% of the index (highest since at least 1966).

    The “why” of index concentration is also an important question- JPMorgan and Berkshire Hathaway are the only two Top 10 members that aren’t technology/technology-related companies. The significant capital expenditures related to artificial intelligence has shaped market composition: Magnificent 7 companies have doubled their annual capital expenditures since 2023. Investors will continue to be focused on the return-on-investment of this record investment, as well as the benefit to the other 490+ companies in the equity market.

    Impact of US Dollar Trends

    After falling almost -11% in posting its worst first half of a year since 1973, the US dollar rallied mildly during the Third Quarter. The weakness in the dollar has been a tailwind for international assets, such as international equities in investor portfolios. Converging growth rates and interest rate differentials globally, along with the high starting value of the US dollar heading into this year, leaves the possibility for an extended period of weakness, similar to 2002-2008. This period was also the last time international equities outpaced US equities for an extended period of time. Outside of currency trends, unlike the S&P 500 the international markets have a much lower degree of concentration in the largest companies: MSCI EAFE Index has roughly 12.7% of its market capitalization in the Top 10 holdings.

    What’s Ahead for the Fourth Quarter?

    Monetary policy is squarely in investors’ focus heading into the Fourth Quarter of 2025, with two subjects in focus. First, the path of interest rate cuts: what is the likely hood of additional interest rate cuts in 2025? With weakening in job market data in September, investors were assigning a high likelihood of rate cuts (0.25%) during the October and December Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meetings. This would mean an additional 0.50% reduction in short-term interest rates by the end of 2025, which would lower the yield on cash/cash-related investments (i.e. money market investments). Second, the composition of the Federal Reserve is also in focus, via both terms ending and attempts to replace members prior to the end of their respective term. This will have a significant impact on additional interest rate cuts heading into 2026.

    Markets in Review

  • Federal Reserve Cut Rates – Now What?

    As expected, the Federal Reserve reduced the Federal Funds rate by 0.25% today, the first rate cut since December 2024. What can investors expect going forward following the reduction in short-term interest rates? First off, some of the impact is “priced in” in advance of the actual rate cut, as investors and financial markets are forward-looking. That being said, there are some general reactions to expect:

    Short-Term Savings and Liabilities

    • There will be a very tangible effect here – the yield or interest on short-term savings vehicles such as money market funds will drop relatively quickly to reflect the lower rate from the Federal Reserve.
    • Floating-rate loans (i.e. home equity lines of credit, securities-based loans, credit card loans) are often based on Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) (replaced LIBOR), which tracks Federal Funds rate closely. There should be a reduction in the interest on floating rate loans.

    Mortgage Rates

    • Fixed rate mortgages are the dominant structure in the United States, and the impact of lower Federal Funds rate can be limited on 15-year and 30-year mortgages.
    • These types of fixed mortgages are based off the yield of longer-term Treasuries, plus a risk spread associated with underwriting and issuing the mortgages.
    • Longer-term Treasuries reflect expectations for future economic growth and inflation and are not set by the Federal Reserve.
    • This is also an example of investors pricing-in future events: 30-year mortgage rates hit their lowest level of the year before the interest rate cut was announced.

    Stock and Bond Investments

    • The impact on the stock market can vary- certain sectors and size companies have a greater sensitivity to short-term interest rates. The catalyst for the rate cut is more important for the stock and bond markets- i.e. are the rate cuts due to an impending recession?
    • For example, small cap stocks use significantly greater floating rate financing compared to large cap stocks. Falling short-term interest rates are expected to boost small cap stock earnings. This is one reason why small cap stocks have outperformed large cap stocks in the US since June 30th.
    • Bond investments will generally benefit from the interest rate cuts but like fixed mortgages, the exact impact is more nuanced. When prevailing interest rates fall, the value of existing bonds increases in value. The benefit for bond investments will be reduced if longer-term yields stay higher or increase, similar to what happened after the rate cuts in 2024.

    Rate cuts bring both opportunities and challenges, and staying informed and proactive can help you navigate the shifts with confidence. Since every situation is unique, we’d be glad to review how these changes may affect your goals—let’s start the conversation.

  • Market Recap: August 2025

    A Monthly Review of Investment Trends and Insights

    Month in Review

    • Increased likelihood of an interest rate cut in September helped to push stocks higher, along with another quarter of strong earnings. The S&P 500 TR Index finished August +2.03% higher.
    • US small cap stocks led all equity markets higher, as the combination of inexpensive valuations and potential interest rate cuts proved to be a tailwind in August. The Russell 2000 TR Index rose +7.14% in August, bringing the return since 6/30/2025 to +9.00%.
    • Reversing July’s rally, the US Dollar fell again in August, providing an additional boost for international stocks denominated in US dollars. The MSCI EAFE NR USD Index rose +4.26% for the month, taking the YTD 2025 rally to +22.79%.
    • The likelihood of a September interest rate cut pushed short-term bond yields lower, helping to drive a +1.20% monthly rally for major bond markets (Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond TR Index). It is important to note that longer-term bond yields actually rose slightly during the month.

    Small Caps Shine in August

    US small cap stocks, which are in the midst of one their longest period of underperformance versus US large caps, rallied sharply in August (Russell 2000 TR Index +7.14%, S&P 600 TR Index +7.06%). The primary reason – clarity around the now widely expected interest rate cut in September.

    US small cap stocks have significantly greater exposure to short-term interest rates, having nearly 5x the amount of floating rate debt compared to the S&P 500 (chart below). Given that the Federal Funds Rate, the anchor for floating rate debt rates, has been above 4% since December 2022, small cap debt service costs have also been elevated. Effective annual debt cost for the Russell 2000 Index is closer to 7%, significantly higher than the effective rate for the S&P 500, which had more companies issue longer-term, fixed rate debt.

    The nearly 12-year period of underperformance versus large caps has driven small caps to represent less than 4% of the overall US stock market, much lower than the 7% long-term average. The start of an interest rate cutting cycle is one element that could benefit small cap stocks. Their valuations are also much lower than US large cap stocks, which could also be a tailwind if the economy continues to expand, and catalyze increased representation of small caps.

    What’s on Deck for September?

    • The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces their decision to change interest rates on September 17th. As of August 31st, markets are assigning a roughly 90% probability that the FOMC reduces the Fed Funds Rate by 0.25%.
    • The Federal Reserve staffing is also in the spotlight. In August, President Trump announced intentions to remove Fed governor Lisa Cook, on allegations of mortgage misrepresentation. No Fed governor has been fired since creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913. The outcome will be watched closely by investors as there are implications for Fed composition and approach to monetary policy. 
  • Inheriting Wealth: What You Might Overlook

    Inheriting a large sum of money can be life-changing, but it can also come with increased responsibilities and potential pitfalls. Without careful planning, an inheritance could quickly become a source of stress, conflict, or even potentially lead to financial loss. Many individuals overlook critical considerations that could have long-term consequences.

    Here are some of the most overlooked considerations:

    1. Understanding How the Inheritance Is Structured

    An inheritance may come through a will or a trust, and the structure dramatically affects how and when you receive assets. A will will typically go through probate, which can take months and may incur fees, while a trust may impose restrictions or phased distributions. Misunderstanding these details could delay access to funds or have potential legal complications.

    2. Tax Implications

    Many beneficiaries can be surprised by taxes, including estate taxes, inheritance taxes (depending on your state), and capital gains taxes on investments sold. Retirement accounts like IRAs or 401(k)s typically have strict withdrawal rules as well. Without professional guidance, a misstep here can lead to unwanted tax bills and potentially lost wealth.

    3. Emotional and Family Dynamics

    Inheritance often comes during a period of grief or loss. Decisions made while under stress could lead to overspending, poor investments, or even family disputes. Without clear guidance and communication, these situations could lead to conflict or financial regret.

    4. Revisiting Your Own Financial Plan

    An inheritance can shift your goals, risk tolerance, and financial future overnight. Your old financial plan may no longer fit the amount and type of assets you now own. Revisiting your financial plan can ensure you understand how the inheritance can impact you and your family now and into the future.

    4. Updating Your Estate Documents

    Suddenly receiving a large sum can potentially reveal gaps in your own estate plan. Without a well-designed strategy, you risk depleting your inheritance quickly or failing to protect assets for future generations.

    5. Honoring the Legacy

    Inheritance is often about more than money; it reflects a loved one’s values and intentions. Failing to consider the legacy can lead to decisions that ignore the purpose behind the gift.

    6. Not Working with a Qualified Professional

    Perhaps one of the most critical mistakes is trying to navigate a complex inheritance without guidance. Without professional guidance, it’s easier to mismanage taxes, misinterpret a will or trust, or potentially make investment mistakes that could erode your wealth. Working with a financial advisor can help ensure your inheritance is handled correctly, protects your financial future, and preserves the legacy intended by the person who passed along the assets. The stakes are high, and mistakes could turn a blessing into a costly mistake.

    An inheritance can be both a gift and a responsibility. To protect your wealth, honor your loved one’s legacy, and make smart, strategic decisions, consider reaching out to Confluence Financial Partners. Our team of professionals can help guide you through each step of the inheritance process, helping you turn this opportunity into a lasting foundation for your financial future.

  • Market Recap: July 2025

    Month in Review

    • Strong US earnings powered markets higher in July (+2.24%, S&P 500 TR Index), led by Technology and growth stocks. Microsoft joined Nvidia in becoming the second $4tn market cap company in history.
    • US large cap growth stocks finished the month up +3.78% (Russell 1000 Growth TR Index), pushing concentration higher in US large cap indices. The top 10 companies in the S&P 500 Index now represent nearly 40% of the index, the most concentrated in at least 50 years.
    • Nvidia’s 8% weight in the S&P 500 as of 7/31/2025 is unusually high relative to the history of the index. For comparison, the 8% weight of the single company is nearly equal to the weight of the entire Industrials Sector in the S&P 500 index.
    • International stocks fell -1.40% (MSCI EAFE NR USD Index) during July, as the US Dollar rose sharply against most major currencies. The MSCI EAFE NR USD Index still stands at +17.77% YTD.
    • Major bond markets fell slightly in July (-0.26%, Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond TR Index), as investors digested the outlook for the economy and monetary policy.

    Diversification with Bonds

    The sharp increase in inflation rates in 2021-2022 not only resulted in a significant drawdown for bond indices, but also sharply shifted the relationship between stock and bond prices. The correlation of US stocks and bonds increased to the highest level in 30 years in 2022, which had real implications for investors: the bond allocation did not provide a ballast during the equity market volatility.

    Historically, periods of sustained higher inflation have resulted in a positive correlation between US stocks and bonds (meaning a reduced diversification benefit). From 2001 to 2022, the short- and long-term correlation between US stocks and bonds stayed negative, meaning bond prices rose when stock prices fell. After resetting higher to positive territory in 2022, recent short-term correlation measures have recently shifted negative again, as the Federal Reserve has begun to normalize monetary policy.  

    The chart illustrates the one-year correlation between US stocks and bonds, annotated with monetary policy developments. As investors have become more comfortable with the inflation outlook, the diversification benefit of bonds is beginning to return to portfolios.

    What’s on Deck for August?

    • Second quarter of 2025 earnings reports will wrap-up in August. Through July 28th, 32% of the S&P 500 companies had reported, 77% beat earnings estimates with a reported earnings growth of +5.5% year/year.
    • The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) left interest rates unchanged in July. The Committee does not have a regular committee meeting in August; rather they have their annual symposium at Jackson Hole. Investors will be monitoring the meeting and communication for any insight as to the likelihood of an interest rate cut in September.
    • Trade policy will again be front-of-mind as the August 1st deadline approaches for trade deal negotiations.
  • 7 Myths About Wealth Management—Debunked

    What is wealth management, really?

    At its core, wealth management is a long-term, relationship-based approach to structuring your financial life. It goes far beyond investment advice, encompassing comprehensive planning across key areas such as tax strategy, retirement readiness, risk management, estate planning, and more. The goal? To align your financial decisions with your life goals, values, and priorities, both now and in the future.

    Still, many people misunderstand what wealth management truly is, and what it isn’t. Let’s begin by addressing seven common myths.

    Myth #1: Wealth management is only about growing your investments.

    Reality: While growing your assets is a piece of the puzzle, wealth management is about far more. It includes protecting what you’ve built, planning for major life events, and preparing for transitions like retirement or business succession. Growth is just one component of a much broader, comprehensive planning process.

    Myth #2: It’s just investment advice.

    Reality: Investments are only one tool in a larger strategy. True wealth management takes into account your entire financial life including income, taxes, estate plans, insurance coverage, and long-term goals, and coordinates them all into a personalized plan.

    Myth #3: You can DIY if you simply do enough research.

    Reality: While self-education is valuable, effective comprehensive planning requires more than access to information. It takes experience, objectivity, and the ability to coordinate multiple moving parts. A good wealth manager helps you avoid blind spots and ensures your decisions are cohesive and future-focused.

    Myth #4: It’s a one-time engagement.

    Reality: Wealth management is a long-term relationship that evolves with your life. Markets change. Families grow. Laws shift. Ongoing adjustments are essential to keep your plan relevant and to make the most of your opportunities over time.

    Myth #5: All wealth managers are the same.

    Reality: Not all advisors provide true comprehensive planning. Some are investment-focused, while others serve as fiduciaries, offering a broader range of coordinated services. It’s important to understand the advisor’s scope and approach before committing to a relationship.

    Myth #6: It’s too expensive.

    Reality: Strategic financial guidance can help you avoid costly mistakes, uncover efficiencies, and make informed decisions that build value over time. The cost of wealth management is often offset by the clarity and confidence it brings as well as the opportunities it helps unlock.

    Myth #7: If I have a 401(k), my retirement is covered.

    Reality: A 401(k) is a great tool, but it’s not a plan. Comprehensive planning connects your retirement savings with the rest of your financial picture, ensuring that your income needs, tax exposure, and estate goals are all working together, not in isolation.

    Final Thoughts

    Wealth management is more than a one-time service. It’s a long-term commitment to clarity, alignment, and strategic decision-making. By debunking myths around wealth management, you can better understand how the right advisor and a comprehensive planning approach can help you move forward with confidence.

    At Confluence Financial Partners, we believe wealth management should be personal, purposeful, and deeply aligned with what matters most to you. Our team is made up of experienced professionals specializing in areas such as financial planning and investment strategy, working together to create the best possible plan tailored to your needs. We also coordinate closely with other financial professionals in your life such as your CPA or attorney to ensure all aspects of your financial picture are working together seamlessly.

    Ready to create a plan designed just for you? Contact us today to get started on your path to greater financial confidence.

  • The One Big Beautiful Bill Act: A Closer Look at Key Tax Changes for Individuals and Business Owners

    The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed into law on July 4, 2025, is one of the most comprehensive tax reforms since the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). While originally many TCJA provisions were set to expire at the end of 2025, OBBBA makes several of them permanent and introduces new deductions and planning opportunities. For both individual taxpayers and business owners, the legislation introduces significant changes that will affect financial strategies for years to come.

    What Provisions Are Now Permanent?

    OBBBA locks in several of the tax code changes first introduced under TCJA. These are no longer set to expire:

    Marginal tax rates remain at their current levels: 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, and 37%. The lower 10% and 12% brackets are a little wider and the 22% bracket is narrower. All brackets will continue to be adjusted for inflation annually.

    Standard deduction levels, which were roughly doubled by TCJA, are now permanent. For 2025, this now means $15,750 for single filers, $23,625 for head of household filers, and $31,500 for joint filers.

    Personal exemptions remain eliminated.

    Estate tax exemption is permanently increased and set to $15 million per individual beginning in 2026.

    The Child Tax Credit increases to $2,200 per child, and for the first time, the credit amount will be indexed to inflation beginning in 2026.

    The Qualified Business Income (QBI) deduction, also known as the Section 199A deduction, is permanently available for pass-through businesses, with continued income thresholds and limitations for specified service trades or businesses (SSTBs).

    Temporary Enhancements for Individual Taxpayers

    While many TCJA provisions are now permanent, OBBBA also introduces several new or enhanced deductions—many of which are temporary, lasting only through 2028 or 2030.

    New Senior Deduction (2025–2028)

    Taxpayers age 65 or older can now claim a separate below-the-line deduction of $6,000 (or $12,000 for joint filers where both spouses are 65+). This is in addition to the standard deduction and is available whether the taxpayer itemizes or not. This was marketed as “no tax on Social Security,” but Social Security income taxation remains unchanged.

    However, this benefit phases out for higher-income seniors:

    Begins to phase out at $75,000 of modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) for single filers.

    Begins to phase out at $150,000 MAGI for joint filers.

    This deduction provides meaningful relief for lower- and middle-income retirees, especially those not drawing heavily from tax-deferred retirement accounts.

    Expansion of the State and Local Tax (SALT) Deduction (2025–2029)

    The $10,000 SALT deduction cap is not eliminated, but it is temporarily raised to $40,000 for individual taxpayers whose MAGI is below $500,000:

    Applies for tax years 2025 through 2029.

    For those filers (single, head of household, or joint) above the MAGI threshold, the higher cap amount begins to phase back down to $10,000 once income reaches $600,000.

    In 2030, the cap reverts to $10,000 for all taxpayers unless further legislative action is taken.

    This creates meaningful short-range planning opportunities for taxpayers in high-tax states, particularly those under the income threshold.

    Other Targeted Deductions and Adjustments

    OBBBA adds a handful of new deductions designed to support working-class and lower-middle-income taxpayers, though many are capped and subject to phase-outs.

    Below-the-Line Charitable Deduction (Starting in 2026)

    Beginning in 2026, taxpayers who either take the standard deduction or itemize will be allowed to deduct a portion of their charitable contributions:

    Up to $1,000 for single filers.

    Up to $2,000 for married couples filing jointly.

    This provision revives and slightly expands the temporary charitable deduction that existed during the COVID pandemic and encourages broader charitable participation. Donations must be made similarly in cash and cannot be made to supporting organizations or donor advised funds.

    Taxpayers who elect to itemize their charitable contributions are now subject to a 0.5% of AGI floor beginning in 2026. Notably, the 0.5% reduction is carried forward to the following year only if the contribution exceeds the AGI limit and is deferred to a future year. As a result, it can sometimes make sense to contribute more than the annual AGI limit, since doing so allows the 0.5%-of-AGI reduction to be “used” later instead of otherwise being simply lost. Additionally, taxpayers in the top marginal bracket of 37% will only be able to deduct 35 cents of every dollar (2/37ths reduction).

    Deduction for Tip Income (2025–2028)

    A new below-the-line deduction allows service industry employees to deduct up to $25,000 of qualified tip income from their taxable income. Income from tips is still subject to payroll tax, included in adjusted gross income (AGI), and may also be subject to state income tax.

    The deduction phases out starting at $150,000 of MAGI for single or head of household filers and $300,000 for joint filers.

    To qualify, the taxpayer must work in an occupation that “traditionally and customarily” received tips prior to 2025, and the tips must be voluntary and not mandated as part of the service provided.

    This benefit is limited to tax years 2025 through 2028.

    Deduction for Overtime Pay (2025–2028)

    Workers who earn additional compensation from overtime can deduct below-the-line:

    Up to $12,500 of overtime income (single).

    Up to $25,000 (married filing jointly).

    As with the tip deduction, phase-outs begin at MAGI of $150,000 for single and head of household filers and $300,000 for joint filers. This deduction is also limited to the 2025–2028 period.

    Deductible Auto Loan Interest (2025–2028)

    Taxpayers can deduct interest on auto loans (taken out after December 31, 2024), but only under specific conditions:

    The vehicle must be new, for personal use, and assembled in the United States. A car VIN starting with digits 1, 4, 5, or 7 indicates the car was assembled in the USA.

    The deduction is capped at $10,000 of interest over the life of the loan.

    MAGI phase-outs apply: $100,000-$149,000 for singles and $200,000-$249,000 for joint filers.

    Applies only through 2028.

    This provision aims to promote domestic car manufacturing and ownership, especially for middle-income households.

    Business Owners: Key Considerations

    Qualified Business Income (QBI) Deduction

    The Section 199A QBI deduction remains intact and permanent. Business owners should continue monitoring the slightly increased income phaseout ranges of $75,000 and $150,000 over the taxable income thresholds of $191,950 single / $383,900 joint in 2025, respectively.

    AMT (Alternative Minimum Tax) Changes

    OBBBA reduces the AMT exemption phase-out thresholds, making more upper-income taxpayers potentially subject to AMT.

    Although the base exemptions remain similar, more taxpayers earning between $500,000 and $1 million may need to recalculate.

    For small business owners, this means more intricate AMT exposure modeling may be necessary to avoid surprises. The interplay between the QBI deduction and the AMT may become more relevant, especially after 2030, when the SALT cap reverts.

    100% bonus depreciation of business property placed into service after January 19, 2025 is permanently restored and Section 179 deduction limits are increased to $2.5 million in aggregate total cost on up to $4 million in total Section 179 property.

    Other Notable Updates

    New “Trump Accounts” are introduced, which can be opened and funded on behalf of any individual with a Social Security number from birth up until the year before the year in which they turn 18.

    The federal government will pilot a program to contribute $1,000 via taxpayer credit per U.S. citizen born in 2025, 2026, or 2027.

    Families can contribute up to $5,000 annually indexed to inflation starting in July 2026.

    Accounts function similarly to traditional IRAs and are designed for general future savings. No distributions are allowed before the year the beneficiary turns 18 and the only eligible investments are low-fee U.S. equity funds. If the beneficiary dies prior to the year in which they turn 18, the account loses its tax-deferred status and is fully taxable to the designated beneficiary.

    In the year the beneficiary turns 18, distributions are permitted but early withdrawal penalties are assessed before age 59 ½. Withdrawals of direct contributions are tax-free but earnings or excluded contributions are taxable.

    Required minimum distributions (RMDs) and the 10-year rule for IRAs will likely apply to these accounts. More guidance is needed to determine if these types of accounts can be rolled over to other IRAs or converted to a Roth IRA.

    Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) capital gain exclusion has increased from $10 million to $15 million for QSBS acquired after July 4, 2025. There is a partial gain exclusion if held for less than 5 years.

    Student Loans

    Federal student loan borrowers will now face a number of changes effective on July 1, 2026. It will significantly curtail most direct borrowing and limit educational opportunities for less affluent families unless they are able to borrow privately:

    GraduatePLUS loan program eliminated (grandfathered in before July 1, 2026)

    ParentPLUS annual and aggregate loan limits of $20,000/yr and $65,000 per dependent student, respectively

    Graduate and professional annual and aggregate loan limits of $20,000/50,000/yr and $100,000/$200,000 total

    $257,500 lifetime borrowing limit on all federal student loans, excluding borrowed ParentPLUS loan amounts

    Student loan repayment options simplified to standard repayment plan (10, 15, 20, or 25 years), income based repayment (IBR) plan, or new Repayment Assistance Plan (RAP). Current borrowers will need to elect one of these options by July 1, 2028 or default to RAP.

    RAP has a $10 minimum monthly payment and borrowers will pay 1% to 10% of their monthly income for up to 30 years. There is no cap on monthly payments, even if they are greater than the standard repayment plan. However negative amortization is eliminated.

    Opportunity Zones and Education

    OBBBA renews and expands Qualified Opportunity Zones, which allow for the deferral and potential exclusion of capital gains invested in targeted communities. The definition of low-income areas will be slightly more restrictive and investors can begin deferring capital gains into new Qualified Opportunity Funds (QOFs) again in 2027.

    529 plans now allow withdrawals for certain non-college expenses, such as workforce certifications and educational supplies.

    These changes broaden the use of tax-advantaged accounts and should be considered when reviewing education and estate planning strategies.

    Many clean energy credits will be repealed by year end instead of the originally scheduled sunset dates between 2032 and 2035.

    Final Thoughts: What This Means for Planning

    OBBBA delivers both permanency and novelty. While it removes the looming TCJA expiration cliff, it introduces a handful of temporary deductions and phase-outs that clients must navigate carefully.

    The most effective plans will be those that adapt to the temporary and permanent elements of OBBBA. This legislation reinforces the idea that financial planning isn’t a one-time activity—it’s a dynamic process that evolves with the law, and your financial plan should too.

    Please reach out to your Confluence Financial Partners wealth advisor with any questions.

    Sources:
    119th Congress (2025-2026) | Library of Congress. (2025, July 4). H.R.1 – One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Congress.gov https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1/text
    Henry-Moreland, B. (2025, July 17). Breaking Down The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”: Impact Of New Laws On Tax Planning. Nerd’s Eye View | Kitces.com https://www.kitces.com/blog/obbba-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-tax-planning-salt-cap-senior-deduction-qbi-deduction-tax-cut-and-jobs-act-tcja-amt-trump-accounts/
    NASFAA. (2025, July). Federal Student Aid Changes from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators. https://www.nasfaa.org/uploads/documents/Federal_Student_Aid_Change_OB3_July2025.pdf

  • Market Recap: June 2025

    Month in Review 

    • Easing geopolitical and trade pressures helped to lift equities higher in June, as corporate fundamentals continued to show signs of improvement.  
    • The US Dollar (DXY Index) fell -10.8% for the year ending June 30th, marking the sharpest first half decline for the currency since 1973. This provided a boost to US investors holding international assets, as detailed below.  
    • The S&P 500 completed its recovery from its roughly -19% decline, making new all-time highs and standing at +6.20% YTD (S&P 500 TR Index). In June, US small cap stocks (Russell 2000 TR Index) and US large cap growth (Russell 1000 Growth TR Index) stocks rose +5.44% and +6.38% respectively.  
    • Long-term interest rates declined from highs during the month, which helped to push major bond markets higher. The Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond TR Index rose +1.54% during the month of June.  

    Income Opportunity in International Equities  

    International equity markets are enjoying a strong start to 2025, with the broad-based MSCI All Country World Ex-USA Index (“MSCI ACWI Ex-USA”) returning +17.90% in 2025 through June 30th. The depreciation of the US dollar has provided a significant boost to US investors holding US dollar denominated international exposure, adding over 9% to YTD 2025 results versus local currency international equities (MSCI ACWI Ex-USA Local Currency).  

    In addition to the benefits of currency diversification, there are attractive income opportunities for growth and income investors. The MSCI ACWI Ex-USA has a trailing dividend yield of 2.86%, compared the S&P 500’s trailing dividend yield of 1.28%. The S&P 500’s dividend yield is below its long-term average, reflecting underlying trends within the index. Within the S&P 500, only 14.7% of the Index has a yield greater than 3%, compared to 27.7% for the Russell 1000 Value and 45.8% for the MSCI ACWI Ex-USA Index. This largely reflects the increased concentration in more growth-focused sectors such as Technology and Communication Services within the S&P 500.  

    The currency diversification and higher dividend yield offered by international equities complements more growth-focused US equity exposure, a key tenant of maintaining diversified portfolios for long-term investors.  

    What’s on Deck for July?  

    • As of time of writing, there is an early July deadline for re-negotiating outstanding trade deals. Progress on trade will be followed closely by investors.  
    • The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on July 29th and July 30th to decide any changes to policy and short-term interest rates. As of 6/30, there is a 21% chance of a 0.25% rate cut at the July meeting. The so-called “dot plots” released on June 18th indicate the FOMC is expecting to cut rates by 0.25% twice in 2025.   
    William Winkeler
    About the Author

    Bill has more than 15 years of experience in the investment industry, most recently as Managing Director of Investments at a private wealth management firm. In his role at Confluence, Bill chairs the Investment Advisory Committee and develops and implements investment strategy for clients of the firm, as well as communicates investment content with clients.

  • 5 Tips to Boost Employee Engagement in Your 401(k) Plan

    Offering a 401(k) plan is a powerful way to help your employees save for retirement, but the plan’s true value is only realized when employees actively participate and regularly contribute. Employee engagement in your 401(k) plan can lead to stronger financial security for your workforce and a healthier benefits program overall.

    If you’re looking to increase participation and get your employees more involved in their retirement savings, here are five practical tips that can energize engagement and make your 401(k) plan work harder for everyone.

    1. Communicate Clearly and Often

    Effective communication is a key component of the foundation of employee engagement. Use simple, jargon-free language to explain the benefits of the 401(k) plan and important deadlines. Regular updates via email, newsletters, and education meetings keep the plan top of mind and reduce confusion.

    2. Leverage Automatic Enrollment and Contribution Escalation Options

    Automatic enrollment helps increase participation by signing up eligible employees by default, while automatic escalation gradually raises their contribution rates over time. Together, these features encourage consistent saving without requiring employees to take action and potentially greatly improving engagement.

    3. Provide Targeted Education

    Employees can have very different levels of financial knowledge. Work with your plan advisor to offer tailored education sessions, whether beginner workshops or advanced webinars so everyone can better understand their options and make more confident decisions about their retirement savings.

    4. Utilize Digital Tools and Resources

    Many 401(k) providers offer online portals, mobile apps, calculators, and interactive planning tools. Ensuring that employees are aware of these resources can help them track their progress and adjust their contributions easily.

    5. Highlight the Employer Match

    If your plan includes an employer match, make sure employees fully understand its value. Emphasize that the match is essentially “free money” that can significantly boost their savings over time. Clear communication about the match can motivate higher participation and contribution rates.

    Final Thoughts

    Employee engagement can be key to unlocking the full potential of your 401(k) plan. At Confluence Retirement Plan Services, we prioritize education and ongoing communication to help employees understand and maximize their retirement benefits. Our dedicated team works closely with plan sponsors to implement strategies that drive participation, boost savings, and create a retirement plan experience that truly supports your workforce.

    If you’re interested in learning more about how Confluence can help you energize employee engagement in your 401(k) plan, we’re here to help.

    Chuck Zuzak
    About the Author

    Chuck joins Confluence Financial Partners with 13 years of experience in the financial services industry, most recently as Director of Financial Planning at JFS Wealth Advisors. At a fundamental level, Chuck’s passion for financial planning stems from the desire to help clients connect their personal values and purpose with their financial resources.